Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 7.185670 7.921285 8.719476 9.653203 10.719671 11.904635 13.327620
2025-12-28 6.632312 7.703941 8.948918 10.515696 12.453986 14.798728 17.889160
2026-01-04 6.048140 7.270761 8.757158 10.723557 13.296805 16.607755 21.288264
2026-01-11 5.429082 6.693726 8.284035 10.469106 13.455624 17.490875 23.530256
2026-01-18 5.133654 6.479522 8.226206 10.713956 14.260086 19.288078 27.259965
2026-01-25 4.740268 6.093445 7.893709 10.532309 14.423680 20.165012 29.721931
2026-02-01 4.422534 5.778353 7.622644 10.396897 14.618267 21.081998 32.352004
2026-02-08 4.137898 5.484504 7.352613 10.228718 14.730700 21.863205 34.851056
2026-02-15 3.874971 5.201176 7.073212 10.015706 14.740724 22.463647 37.106494
2026-02-22 3.684699 5.007924 6.908303 9.958121 14.983971 23.466029 40.242314
2026-03-01 3.438941 4.718460 6.580445 9.616808 14.722073 23.557656 41.632384
2026-03-08 3.186478 4.405425 6.198149 9.159616 14.221174 23.164249 41.980103
2026-03-15 3.012328 4.205961 5.985841 8.976357 14.199350 23.685951 44.418492
2026-03-22 3.073743 4.365727 6.339100 9.755048 15.955359 27.793620 55.550209
2026-03-29 2.999393 4.310350 6.346121 9.944027 16.654634 29.935110 62.729248
2026-04-05 2.844626 4.120153 6.123067 9.713037 16.534466 30.373535 65.818321
2026-04-12 2.791119 4.087366 6.154915 9.935299 17.311973 32.824873 74.755514
2026-04-19 2.668390 3.936694 5.981179 9.770424 17.300578 33.536804 79.130526
2026-04-26 2.561984 3.807444 5.836228 9.647464 17.361210 34.419537 84.242031
2026-05-03 2.457569 3.676642 5.681494 9.494689 17.344004 35.116841 88.996717
2026-05-10 2.352978 3.541019 5.511512 9.301089 17.221452 35.544031 93.032041
2026-05-17 2.278207 3.452023 5.418226 9.248733 17.399096 36.739549 99.985177
2026-05-24 2.166495 3.296309 5.200114 8.938242 16.979296 36.361304 101.400201